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RBZ Cuts Rates Again — But 27.5% Against 3.7% Inflation Is Still Expensive Money

4 min read · Ndarama Editorial (AI-assisted)

RBZ Cuts Rates Again — But 27.5% Against 3.7% Inflation Is Still Expensive Money
RBZ Cuts Rates Again — But 27.5% Against 3.7% Inflation Is Still Expensive Money This is the second rate cut in four months, and the Reserve Bank insists it isn't loosening policy. The math backs that up: money is still very expensive, just slightly less so. The numbers, plainly The Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe has cut its bank policy rate from 30% to 27.5%, effective immediately. It also reduced the Targeted Finance Facility (TFF) rate from 15% to 12.5%, and capped banks' all-inclusive on-lending rate to productive sectors at 22.5%. This is the second cut since June 2026. The policy rate was 35% before June, moved to 30%, and has now moved to 27.5% — a total reduction of 7.5 percentage points. Annual ZiG inflation was 2.9% in August 2026, the lowest since 1980, though it edged up to 3.7% in September. Why it happened / the mechanism A policy rate is the wholesale price of money. When the central bank moves it, banks may adjust what they charge borrowers and pay savers, but that pass-through is neither automatic nor instant. The Monetary Policy Committee is careful with its wording here. It describes this as a realignment of the policy rate to observed inflation, not as monetary easing, while keeping a tight overall stance. The distinction matters: even after the cut, a 27.5% policy rate against 3.7% inflation is a very high real rate. Money is still expensive; it is just slightly less expensive than before. Why this matters The TFF cut to 12.5% and the 22.5% cap on productive-sector lending are aimed squarely at agriculture, manufacturing and small businesses that borrow in ZiG for working capital. For a qualifying business, a move from 15% to 12.5% before bank margins is meaningful. But a 27.5% base rate is still far from cheap, and banks may not pass the full cut through to borrowers. What does this mean for the common person If you save in ZiG: deposit rates could drift lower over time, though the timing depends on individual banks. Even so, a real rate this far above inflation still favours savers holding ZiG. If you run a small business borrowing in ZiG: working-capital credit in agriculture, manufacturing or a qualifying productive sector could get somewhat cheaper, but confirm the actual rate your bank offers rather than assuming the cut passed through in full. If you borrow or save in US dollars: this cut has little direct effect on you. It's a ZiG-market move. If you hold or are considering US-dollar or real-asset investments: the relevant signal here is stability, not the rate cut itself. The RBZ judging inflation subdued enough to cut without loosening policy supports a cautious, stability-focused reading of the currency environment. Keep the scale in mind Inflation already ticked up from 2.9% to 3.7% in a single month. If that continues, a pause or reversal in rate cuts is possible. Banks may also not pass the TFF cut through fully to borrowers, so what qualifying businesses actually pay could differ from the headline number. This is a normalisation, not a loosening of the underlying stance, and it is not a signal that further cuts are guaranteed. Closing takeaway The RBZ trimmed the cost of money for the second time this year while insisting policy remains tight, and the numbers support that framing. ZiG savers still earn a high real return, ZiG borrowers in productive sectors get a modestly cheaper window, and USD-linked assets are supported more by the broader stability story than by this specific move. The next thing worth watching is whether September's inflation uptick continues or fades. This article is for information only and is not investment advice.
RBZ Cuts Rates Again — But 27.5% Against 3.7% Inflation Is Still Expensive Money — Ndarama | Ndarama Wallet